What if you could build financial products based on future events, not just tokens?
Note: This article does not constitute financial advice. The ideas shared are exploratory and based on ongoing research and interest in the space.
Introduction
In Web3, most financial systems are built around tokens, prices, and speculation. But what if we could build systems based on real-world events? Not just “if a token goes up”, but “if something actually happens”.
This idea brought me to Multiverse Finance, a concept shared by the team at Paradigm, one of the biggest investors in crypto space. It inspired me to explore how conditional finance might be useful not only in DeFi, but also in governance, funding, and public collaboration.
In this article, I’ll explain what this model is about, where it could be applied, and what risks we should consider.
What is Multiverse Finance?
Multiverse Finance is a system where assets or capital flows only become valid if a certain event happens.
For example:
- A DAO can set a grant that only unlocks if a proposal is passed on-chain.
- A protocol upgrade can trigger new liquidity only if it is completed by a deadline.
- Funding for a sustainability project (if it really tends to impact) can be released only after data shows that emissions were reduced.
Instead of trusting people to deliver, the system rewards actual results.
Why this matters beyond DeFi
This logic can be used outside crypto and finance. Here are a few examples:
- Governments or international donors can tie financial support to on-chain or verifiable outcomes.
- DAOs can manage resources in a way that’s transparent and based on KPIs.
- Partnerships between different actors can be based on real progress, not promises.
Multiverse Finance helps turn blockchains into coordination tools — not just ledgers.
What could go wrong?
Of course, event-based finance comes with risks:
- If event resolution depends on one oracle, it could be wrong or manipulated.
- Some outcomes are hard to define clearly, which can create disputes.
- If decisions are made by voting, low participation or bias might affect results.
That’s why it’s important to design these systems with clear rules and strong data sources.
What this means for Web3
This idea suggests a new role for Web3: not just storing value or running contracts, but moving capital based on real-world results.
It opens the door to:
- Smarter funding tools
- More transparent partnerships
- Stronger links between blockchain and society
Final thoughts
Exploring conditional finance has helped me see how Web3 could become useful for more than just financial gains. It could also help coordinate governance, public funding, and shared accountability.
Multiverse Finance is just one possible use case. But it shows how known token standards and existing blockchain infrastructure can be applied in new ways — to expand the relevance of Web3 beyond trading, and into real-world coordination.
This kind of thinking can help bring serious builders, institutions, and public sector actors into the space. It also supports a deeper view: that crypto, at its core, is not about speculation. It is a technology of structure, distribution, and potential positive impact.